After one of the more disappointing losses in recent memory, the Iowa Hawkeyes came out on Saturday and re-asserted themselves not only as a title contender in the Big Ten, but also as a relevant player in the BCS picture with a dominating 37-6 performance against Michigan State. Here are my thoughts.
Quick Start. Iowa teams under Kirk Ferentz have always seemed to be energized when the offense is able to move the ball down the field on the first drive and score a touchdown. That certainly seemed to be the case on Saturday when the Hawkeyes marched the ball down field on a 12 play 80 yard drive ending in a three yard touchdown pass from Ricky Stanzi to Colin Sandeman. Scoring on the first drive not only helps the defense out by giving them a lead, but it also has the effect of giving the offense confidence for the rest of the game. As a result of Iowa moving the ball at will on its first two drives, the Michigan State defense was on its heels the entire game until the 4th quarter when Iowa went exclusively to the ground game.
Quiet Warrior. Just another ho-hum performance for Iowa running back, Adam Robinson. While it has been written and said multiple times this season, Robinson’s value is immeasurable to this team. His ability to keep his legs moving while maintaining his balance are skills that overshadow any perceived lack of breakaway speed. It was nice to Marcus Coker get some meaningful carries in the second quarter, as Iowa will need to rely on him at least for a few carries in these remaining four games. My only complaint with the game was the decision to leave Robinson and other starters on both sides of the ball in the game so late into the fourth quarter. Perhaps it was because of Michigan State’s comeback abilities or the need for more practice, but the game seemed to be in hand that late in the game and an injury to any starter would have been devastating. Nonetheless, if the Iowa running attack can continue to produce like it has the entire season, defenses will be forced to respect the run allowing Stanzi to throw the ball downfield off of play action.
Defensive Line Pressure. While the Iowa defense only had one sack on Saturday by Steve Bigach, it was evident that Michigan State clearly respected Iowa’s front four by relying heavily on quick developing pass plays and not throwing downfield very often. Despite Adrian Clayborn having a relatively quiet game statistically, Mike Daniels and Christian Ballard looked impressive against the run with Daniels collecting two tackles for loss. Chances are that the Iowa front four will not put up gaudy statistics the next two weeks against Indiana and Northwestern offenses that like to air it out at six to eight yard clips; however, the Iowa defensive line will be able to use their strength and quickness in the next two games to get in the throwing lanes to knock down passes. Speaking of the defense, Tyler Sash had an incredible game on Saturday with an interception and subsequent lateral to Micah Hyde who went 66 yards for a touchdown. Sash also looked great in run support making several open field tackles with good tackling technique that may have been lacking by several members of the secondary the past few weeks.
Special Teams Coverage. The Iowa kickoff coverage unit looked much improved on Saturday limiting Michigan State to an average of 16 yards per kickoff. Don Nordmann and Tom Donatell are quickly making themselves known to the Iowa faithful with their solid tackling on kickoffs as the unit as a whole continues to improve. It is apparent that the kickoff coverage unit is taking pride in its play the past few weeks, which pride and intensity may have been lacking early on in the season. It is also apparent that the Iowa coaching staff has placed more emphasis on this aspect of the game the last few weeks.
Iowa’s win on Saturday not only ended Michigan State’s national championship dreams, but it also gave this team the confidence that they desperately needed after last week’s agonizing loss to realize that they are still a good football team that has a lot to play for the remainder of the year. Several players commented on Saturday that practice last week was much better than it had been, as everyone picked up the tempo and worked harder. Iowa’s game against Indiana will be very telling as to the mentality of this team. If Iowa comes out and plays like they did on Saturday, it will tell me that the team leadership is continuing to follow the mantra of its coaching staff by taking one game at a time.
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Thursday, October 28, 2010
Michigan State Predictions
It is no big stretch to say that Iowa’s game this Saturday will define its season. After a heart-wrenching loss last week against Wisconsin, the Hawkeyes enter the Michigan State with a glimmer of hope that a co-Big Ten championship is still possible. Here are my thoughts.
Run Defense. The past two weeks have been uncharacteristic for the Iowa defense as they have not been able to, as Norm Parker is fond of saying, “put out the fire.” Part of that has been due to an ever shifting corps of linebackers that may be different again this Saturday with Jeff Tarpinian still questionable and Jeremiha Hunter also questionable to play. At the beginning of the year, Kirk Ferentz hinted to the fact that given the option he would prefer a veteran defensive line over a veteran group of linebackers. While Iowa’s linebackers have played well this year, it is clear that Iowa misses the run defense play of Pat Angerer and AJ Edds. James Morris, who will undoubtedly be a great player some day, just does not have the experience that is required of a linebacker to react in a split second rather than think then act within that limited time frame. Iowa’s front seven will once again be challenged on Saturday against the three-headed running attack of Michigan State. Edwin Baker, Larry Caper, and Le’Veon Bell have combined to lead the Spartans to an average of 193.5 yards per game on the ground. The Iowa defensive line will have a much easier task this week against the Michigan State offensive line than against the monstrous Wisconsin offensive line, as Michigan State’s size up front is not as daunting and is not as experienced.
Small Matters. In Iowa’s losses against Arizona and Wisconsin, the small mistakes compounded and led to big plays for the opponents, ultimately leading to those two losses. While no team can play a perfect game, minimizing mistakes and not allowing an opponent to capitalize on those mistakes are critical in order for a team to walk away with a victory. Unlike last year when Iowa was able to cause its opponents to make mistakes and capitalize on those mistakes, the tables have seemed to turn. Iowa has uncharacteristically shot itself in the foot and those small mistakes were exploited by Arizona and Wisconsin. Granted the season is a little more than half way over, which leads me to believe that there is time for the Iowa players to learn from their mistakes over the prior seven games. This Saturday is another big litmus test to see how they have learned from those mistakes.
Play-Action. After another impressive performance by Adam Robinson, Michigan State will have to respect the run allowing Ricky Stanzi to attack the Spartan defense who will not be able to sell out against the run or the pass. By continuing to establish the run, Iowa can rely on the play-action pass, which Stanzi does such a great job of selling to make defenders think run first. All-American linebacker Greg Jones will be all over the place on Saturday both in the running game and the passing game. Jones is fifth in the Big Ten in tackles and has that uncanny sixth sense for anticipating a play and knowing where to go to be in a position to make a play. His cohort, Eric Gordon, is also a very talented linebacker who can make plays in space. Michigan State’s secondary, however, is vulnerable, ranking seventh in the Big Ten in passing defense giving up 213.5 yards per game. The Spartan secondary has also been depleted the past few weeks with senior cornerback Chris L. Rucker in jail for violating his probation for last year’s assault involving several other members of the football by being charged for drunken driving on October 10. Rucker was released from jail on Thursday and, curiously, was reinstated upon his release by Michigan State head coach Mark Dantonio for this Saturday’s game. Rucker was the cornerback in last year’s game who received the pass interference call that kept the Iowa drive alive and was the cornerback who got beat by Marvin McNutt on the final play of the game when “7 got 6.” With Rucker back, Michigan State’s secondary improves dramatically and presents an additional challenge for which Iowa must prepare.
Spartan Attack. In addition to the rushing attack that Michigan State presents, quarterback Kirk Cousins is the best quarterback Iowa will play against this year with Arizona quarterback Nick Foles a close second. Cousins is one of the most efficient passers in the nation and has the patience necessary to beat Iowa with short six-seven yard passes the entire game. Cousins’ targets include Mark Dell, B.J. Cunningham, Keshawn Martin, and tight end Charlie Gantt who are all quality receivers that can make the big plays when necessary. Against an Iowa secondary that was picked apart by Scott Tolzien last week, Michigan State has to be licking its chops thinking about its possibilities.
Michigan State’s first undefeated season since 1966 is almost complete given that their remaining schedule consists of a home games against Minnesota and Purdue and a road contests at Penn State. While it is one of the easiest roads to a Big Ten championship in recent history, Sparty still must clear the final hurdle of winning at Kinnick Stadium. The last three games between the two schools have gone down to the wire and I expect nothing less this time around. Michigan State is playing with the confidence that it can win any game against any opponent. The Spartans are playing with that same level of confidence that the Hawkeyes exhibited last year when the Hawkeyes were invincible until Stanzi went down against Northwestern. As has been the case all season long, this game will come down to what team makes more mistakes and has the better special teams. Based on those two indicators, it would seem as though Iowa should lose the game; however, I think this game marks when Iowa turns its season around.
Prediction: Iowa 24 Michigan State 21
Pick to Click: Christian Ballard
Run Defense. The past two weeks have been uncharacteristic for the Iowa defense as they have not been able to, as Norm Parker is fond of saying, “put out the fire.” Part of that has been due to an ever shifting corps of linebackers that may be different again this Saturday with Jeff Tarpinian still questionable and Jeremiha Hunter also questionable to play. At the beginning of the year, Kirk Ferentz hinted to the fact that given the option he would prefer a veteran defensive line over a veteran group of linebackers. While Iowa’s linebackers have played well this year, it is clear that Iowa misses the run defense play of Pat Angerer and AJ Edds. James Morris, who will undoubtedly be a great player some day, just does not have the experience that is required of a linebacker to react in a split second rather than think then act within that limited time frame. Iowa’s front seven will once again be challenged on Saturday against the three-headed running attack of Michigan State. Edwin Baker, Larry Caper, and Le’Veon Bell have combined to lead the Spartans to an average of 193.5 yards per game on the ground. The Iowa defensive line will have a much easier task this week against the Michigan State offensive line than against the monstrous Wisconsin offensive line, as Michigan State’s size up front is not as daunting and is not as experienced.
Small Matters. In Iowa’s losses against Arizona and Wisconsin, the small mistakes compounded and led to big plays for the opponents, ultimately leading to those two losses. While no team can play a perfect game, minimizing mistakes and not allowing an opponent to capitalize on those mistakes are critical in order for a team to walk away with a victory. Unlike last year when Iowa was able to cause its opponents to make mistakes and capitalize on those mistakes, the tables have seemed to turn. Iowa has uncharacteristically shot itself in the foot and those small mistakes were exploited by Arizona and Wisconsin. Granted the season is a little more than half way over, which leads me to believe that there is time for the Iowa players to learn from their mistakes over the prior seven games. This Saturday is another big litmus test to see how they have learned from those mistakes.
Play-Action. After another impressive performance by Adam Robinson, Michigan State will have to respect the run allowing Ricky Stanzi to attack the Spartan defense who will not be able to sell out against the run or the pass. By continuing to establish the run, Iowa can rely on the play-action pass, which Stanzi does such a great job of selling to make defenders think run first. All-American linebacker Greg Jones will be all over the place on Saturday both in the running game and the passing game. Jones is fifth in the Big Ten in tackles and has that uncanny sixth sense for anticipating a play and knowing where to go to be in a position to make a play. His cohort, Eric Gordon, is also a very talented linebacker who can make plays in space. Michigan State’s secondary, however, is vulnerable, ranking seventh in the Big Ten in passing defense giving up 213.5 yards per game. The Spartan secondary has also been depleted the past few weeks with senior cornerback Chris L. Rucker in jail for violating his probation for last year’s assault involving several other members of the football by being charged for drunken driving on October 10. Rucker was released from jail on Thursday and, curiously, was reinstated upon his release by Michigan State head coach Mark Dantonio for this Saturday’s game. Rucker was the cornerback in last year’s game who received the pass interference call that kept the Iowa drive alive and was the cornerback who got beat by Marvin McNutt on the final play of the game when “7 got 6.” With Rucker back, Michigan State’s secondary improves dramatically and presents an additional challenge for which Iowa must prepare.
Spartan Attack. In addition to the rushing attack that Michigan State presents, quarterback Kirk Cousins is the best quarterback Iowa will play against this year with Arizona quarterback Nick Foles a close second. Cousins is one of the most efficient passers in the nation and has the patience necessary to beat Iowa with short six-seven yard passes the entire game. Cousins’ targets include Mark Dell, B.J. Cunningham, Keshawn Martin, and tight end Charlie Gantt who are all quality receivers that can make the big plays when necessary. Against an Iowa secondary that was picked apart by Scott Tolzien last week, Michigan State has to be licking its chops thinking about its possibilities.
Michigan State’s first undefeated season since 1966 is almost complete given that their remaining schedule consists of a home games against Minnesota and Purdue and a road contests at Penn State. While it is one of the easiest roads to a Big Ten championship in recent history, Sparty still must clear the final hurdle of winning at Kinnick Stadium. The last three games between the two schools have gone down to the wire and I expect nothing less this time around. Michigan State is playing with the confidence that it can win any game against any opponent. The Spartans are playing with that same level of confidence that the Hawkeyes exhibited last year when the Hawkeyes were invincible until Stanzi went down against Northwestern. As has been the case all season long, this game will come down to what team makes more mistakes and has the better special teams. Based on those two indicators, it would seem as though Iowa should lose the game; however, I think this game marks when Iowa turns its season around.
Prediction: Iowa 24 Michigan State 21
Pick to Click: Christian Ballard
Sunday, October 24, 2010
Thoughts on Wisconsin Game
For some unknown reason, losses always hurt our psyche more than wins make us feel good. One of the most disappointing parts of Iowa’s 31-30 loss to Wisconsin is that the Badgers beat Iowa at its own game of not making mistakes and capitalizing on special teams. Here are my thoughts.
Spike. While it was certainly not the reason why Iowa lost the game, the confusion and subsequent timeout after the quarterback sneak on 4th and one is at the focal point of Iowa fans’ disappointment after the game. One of the things that I admire the most about Kirk Ferentz is his willingness to never place blame on his players nor his coaching staff. Regardless of who is to blame for the timeout, fourth down, and timeout sequence, the decision to not spike the ball after Ricky Stanzi picked up the first down is inexcusable. At that point in the game, time is the limited resource with which one must be concerned—not the down and distance. A spike on first down stops the clock, gives the offense the opportunity to regroup and, with the time that was left in the game, run one maybe two plays to at least give the kicker a chance at a field goal. This one mistake did not lose the game for Iowa, but it was a microcosm of what went wrong on Saturday for Iowa.
Special Teams. Saying that the difference in a game will be special teams is one of the most cliché sayings in football; however, behind every cliché is some truth. Iowa’s two losses this season can be directly attributed to poor special teams. A blocked extra point, a botched field goal attempt, and an offside on kickoff resulting in 35 yards of hidden yardage made the difference between losing a game by one point and winning a game by three to ten points. Each week I have been predicting improvement in this area of the game and while it seems like a broken record at this point, I am going to predict that Iowa’s special teams will improve over the course of the next five weeks.
Offense. One of the bright spots on Saturday was the play of Adam Robinson and Ricky Stanzi. Robinson is quickly becoming a fan favorite with his determined running style, the effort he displays on the field in each game, and his pleasant demeanor off the field. Stanzi also had another incredibly efficient game ending with 258 yards and three touchdown passes. While he may have missed some open receivers deep down the field and instead settled for underneath throws, he managed the game very well and looked extremely confident in the pocket due to the great effort from the Iowa offensive line. I was surprised that Iowa did not throw off of play action that often on Saturday given how Wisconsin had to respect Iowa’s running attack behind Robinson. It will be interesting to see whether Iowa looks to stretch the field next week against a Michigan State pass defense that ranks in the middle of the Big Ten allowing 213 yards per game. Likewise, star Michigan State cornerback Chris L. Rucker may still be left off the roster following some disciplinary issues that have kept him off the field the last two weeks.
The loss on Saturday may have been the most disappointing loss by Iowa since the loss in 2006 at Northwestern when Iowa lost in the closing minutes after holding a 14 point lead with eight minutes left. The fact that Iowa seemed to be outcoached by Bret Bielema also leaves Iowa fans with an uneasy feeling given that Wisconsin out-Iowa’ed Iowa. It is not hyperbole to say that Iowa’s season may be defined this Saturday against Michigan State. A loss this Saturday could mean the difference between still having a Big Ten championship to play for and going into loss prevention mode to salvage the season. In order for the championship dream to remain alive, the Iowa defense needs to get back to their “put out the fire” mentality that has defined the Iowa defense under this coaching staff. Kirk Ferentz has mentioned that Norm Parker may be able to get back in the coaching booth this season, which may give the Iowa defense the inspiration and leadership they need to get back on track. No matter how many times one dissects this game, until the black and gold runs back on the field next Saturday, this loss will still linger like a bad cold that will not go away.
Spike. While it was certainly not the reason why Iowa lost the game, the confusion and subsequent timeout after the quarterback sneak on 4th and one is at the focal point of Iowa fans’ disappointment after the game. One of the things that I admire the most about Kirk Ferentz is his willingness to never place blame on his players nor his coaching staff. Regardless of who is to blame for the timeout, fourth down, and timeout sequence, the decision to not spike the ball after Ricky Stanzi picked up the first down is inexcusable. At that point in the game, time is the limited resource with which one must be concerned—not the down and distance. A spike on first down stops the clock, gives the offense the opportunity to regroup and, with the time that was left in the game, run one maybe two plays to at least give the kicker a chance at a field goal. This one mistake did not lose the game for Iowa, but it was a microcosm of what went wrong on Saturday for Iowa.
Special Teams. Saying that the difference in a game will be special teams is one of the most cliché sayings in football; however, behind every cliché is some truth. Iowa’s two losses this season can be directly attributed to poor special teams. A blocked extra point, a botched field goal attempt, and an offside on kickoff resulting in 35 yards of hidden yardage made the difference between losing a game by one point and winning a game by three to ten points. Each week I have been predicting improvement in this area of the game and while it seems like a broken record at this point, I am going to predict that Iowa’s special teams will improve over the course of the next five weeks.
Offense. One of the bright spots on Saturday was the play of Adam Robinson and Ricky Stanzi. Robinson is quickly becoming a fan favorite with his determined running style, the effort he displays on the field in each game, and his pleasant demeanor off the field. Stanzi also had another incredibly efficient game ending with 258 yards and three touchdown passes. While he may have missed some open receivers deep down the field and instead settled for underneath throws, he managed the game very well and looked extremely confident in the pocket due to the great effort from the Iowa offensive line. I was surprised that Iowa did not throw off of play action that often on Saturday given how Wisconsin had to respect Iowa’s running attack behind Robinson. It will be interesting to see whether Iowa looks to stretch the field next week against a Michigan State pass defense that ranks in the middle of the Big Ten allowing 213 yards per game. Likewise, star Michigan State cornerback Chris L. Rucker may still be left off the roster following some disciplinary issues that have kept him off the field the last two weeks.
The loss on Saturday may have been the most disappointing loss by Iowa since the loss in 2006 at Northwestern when Iowa lost in the closing minutes after holding a 14 point lead with eight minutes left. The fact that Iowa seemed to be outcoached by Bret Bielema also leaves Iowa fans with an uneasy feeling given that Wisconsin out-Iowa’ed Iowa. It is not hyperbole to say that Iowa’s season may be defined this Saturday against Michigan State. A loss this Saturday could mean the difference between still having a Big Ten championship to play for and going into loss prevention mode to salvage the season. In order for the championship dream to remain alive, the Iowa defense needs to get back to their “put out the fire” mentality that has defined the Iowa defense under this coaching staff. Kirk Ferentz has mentioned that Norm Parker may be able to get back in the coaching booth this season, which may give the Iowa defense the inspiration and leadership they need to get back on track. No matter how many times one dissects this game, until the black and gold runs back on the field next Saturday, this loss will still linger like a bad cold that will not go away.
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Wisconsin Predictions
The first game of Iowa’s remaining three home games will take Iowa fans and players back to an era of football that is seldom seen in today’s world of spread offenses and defenses that cannot hold teams under 35 points. Every year before this matchup media members discuss the similarities between the two programs and styles of play, all of which is true. It is unfortunate that the Iowa and Wisconsin game had to be the sacrificial lamb of Big Ten conference re-alignment, but everyone knew going into the process that at least one annual matchups would be lost. Nevertheless, the hype leading up to this game is almost as good as the buildup prior to the 2004 Iowa and Wisconsin game that ended up being for the Big Ten championship. Here are my thoughts.
Individual Matchup. Adrian Clayborn has been an absolutely disruptive force this year despite the statistics to support his tremendous play. As observant fans are aware, Clayborn has been double and, sometimes, triple teamed most of the season. Saturday, however, will present a different challenge for Clayborn when he faces Wisconsin left tackle Gabe Carimi. Clayborn and Carimi are both top NFL draft prospects who have battled against one another in the past two seasons. Clayborn got the best of an injured Carimi last year recording six tackles, two tackles for losses, and a sack. I am certainly interested in watching two top notch athletes going at each other for four quarters, but I am also curious to see how Clayborn plays against a scheme that will likely allow its offensive tackle to take on Clayborn without any support of a tight end or a running back. Those Iowa fans that have been clamoring for more statistics from Clayborn this season may just get their wish on Saturday against a quality opponent.
Passing Efficiency. Ricky Stanzi has quietly put together an outstanding season at the helm of the Iowa offense. Stanzi is third in the nation in passing efficiency with a quarterback rating of 180.49, which is incredible. Marc Morehouse of the Cedar Rapids Gazette wrote a great piece earlier this week on the time that Stanzi spent in the film room this summer and the time he spends in the film room during the season. That dedication is paying off for the Iowa offense and the Iowa fans that have been able to enjoy Stanzi’s production this season. Stanzi’s play on Saturday will again be critical, as I expect the coaching staff to attempt to establish the run to set up the play action. The Wisconsin pass defense is, however, salty against the pass giving up only 193 yards per game. Iowa’s offensive game plan may also change based on the weather, which may force both teams to rely more heavily on the running game than planned. Stanzi has the opportunity once again on the national stage to add to his already impressive season and increase his draft stock.
Coverage. Wisconsin kick returner David Gilreath started off last Saturday’s win against Ohio State with a bang when he returned the opening kickoff 97 yards for a touchdown. Iowa’s kickoff coverage unit has been much maligned this season and will need to continue its improvement in this area to prevent special teams plays that can mean the difference between winning and losing games against good competition. It has been interesting to see how the personnel of Iowa’s special teams units have changed since the beginning of the year as more and more defensive starters have found their way on kickoff and punt coverage. Likewise, several true freshman, including Don Shumpert who had his redshirt pulled last Saturday, have seen more time on special teams units this season. Regardless of personnel, Iowa’s special teams have to win their battles on Saturday, as the margin for error in the other facets of the game are very slim.
Wisconsin Air Attack. While everyone knows Wisconsin has a great running game with John Clay and James White behind a gigantic offensive line, I am not entirely sold on Scott Tolzien and the Wisconsin air attack. Wisconsin ranks 75th in the nation in passing offense averaging just over 201 yards per game. As a point of comparison, Iowa ranks 30th in the nation averaging 253 yards per game. What that tells me is that if Iowa is able to get a two score lead, Wisconsin is not built to play from behind with their passing offense. Tolzien will not only have to deal with what should be a raucous crowd, but he may also have to deal with the elements affecting his ability to throw. Although it is no guarantee or certainty that Iowa can build a lead, if they are able to, I think it will be difficult for Wisconsin’s offense to play catch up with their run-first mentality on offense.
As I mentioned earlier, the fact that the Heartland Trophy game was lost to Big Ten re-alignment is unfortunate, but it adds a tiny, yet additional element of motivation for this contest. For teams that are so identical, Iowa has seemingly had Wisconsin’s number the past decade winning four out of the last five at Kinnick Stadium. While a loss would not put Iowa out of the Big Ten race, it would put them in the position of relying on other teams to lose. Fortunately, Iowa has the opportunity to have its Big Ten destiny in its own hands for the remainder of the season. What is unfortunate is that weather may play a role in the game on Saturday, which I do not think benefits either team one way or the other. Regardless of what Mother Nature has in store for Saturday, Wisconsin is just one of those teams that Iowa plays well against under Kirk Ferentz and I do not see that changing this time.
Prediction: Iowa 20 Wisconsin 13
Pick to Click: Karl Klug
Individual Matchup. Adrian Clayborn has been an absolutely disruptive force this year despite the statistics to support his tremendous play. As observant fans are aware, Clayborn has been double and, sometimes, triple teamed most of the season. Saturday, however, will present a different challenge for Clayborn when he faces Wisconsin left tackle Gabe Carimi. Clayborn and Carimi are both top NFL draft prospects who have battled against one another in the past two seasons. Clayborn got the best of an injured Carimi last year recording six tackles, two tackles for losses, and a sack. I am certainly interested in watching two top notch athletes going at each other for four quarters, but I am also curious to see how Clayborn plays against a scheme that will likely allow its offensive tackle to take on Clayborn without any support of a tight end or a running back. Those Iowa fans that have been clamoring for more statistics from Clayborn this season may just get their wish on Saturday against a quality opponent.
Passing Efficiency. Ricky Stanzi has quietly put together an outstanding season at the helm of the Iowa offense. Stanzi is third in the nation in passing efficiency with a quarterback rating of 180.49, which is incredible. Marc Morehouse of the Cedar Rapids Gazette wrote a great piece earlier this week on the time that Stanzi spent in the film room this summer and the time he spends in the film room during the season. That dedication is paying off for the Iowa offense and the Iowa fans that have been able to enjoy Stanzi’s production this season. Stanzi’s play on Saturday will again be critical, as I expect the coaching staff to attempt to establish the run to set up the play action. The Wisconsin pass defense is, however, salty against the pass giving up only 193 yards per game. Iowa’s offensive game plan may also change based on the weather, which may force both teams to rely more heavily on the running game than planned. Stanzi has the opportunity once again on the national stage to add to his already impressive season and increase his draft stock.
Coverage. Wisconsin kick returner David Gilreath started off last Saturday’s win against Ohio State with a bang when he returned the opening kickoff 97 yards for a touchdown. Iowa’s kickoff coverage unit has been much maligned this season and will need to continue its improvement in this area to prevent special teams plays that can mean the difference between winning and losing games against good competition. It has been interesting to see how the personnel of Iowa’s special teams units have changed since the beginning of the year as more and more defensive starters have found their way on kickoff and punt coverage. Likewise, several true freshman, including Don Shumpert who had his redshirt pulled last Saturday, have seen more time on special teams units this season. Regardless of personnel, Iowa’s special teams have to win their battles on Saturday, as the margin for error in the other facets of the game are very slim.
Wisconsin Air Attack. While everyone knows Wisconsin has a great running game with John Clay and James White behind a gigantic offensive line, I am not entirely sold on Scott Tolzien and the Wisconsin air attack. Wisconsin ranks 75th in the nation in passing offense averaging just over 201 yards per game. As a point of comparison, Iowa ranks 30th in the nation averaging 253 yards per game. What that tells me is that if Iowa is able to get a two score lead, Wisconsin is not built to play from behind with their passing offense. Tolzien will not only have to deal with what should be a raucous crowd, but he may also have to deal with the elements affecting his ability to throw. Although it is no guarantee or certainty that Iowa can build a lead, if they are able to, I think it will be difficult for Wisconsin’s offense to play catch up with their run-first mentality on offense.
As I mentioned earlier, the fact that the Heartland Trophy game was lost to Big Ten re-alignment is unfortunate, but it adds a tiny, yet additional element of motivation for this contest. For teams that are so identical, Iowa has seemingly had Wisconsin’s number the past decade winning four out of the last five at Kinnick Stadium. While a loss would not put Iowa out of the Big Ten race, it would put them in the position of relying on other teams to lose. Fortunately, Iowa has the opportunity to have its Big Ten destiny in its own hands for the remainder of the season. What is unfortunate is that weather may play a role in the game on Saturday, which I do not think benefits either team one way or the other. Regardless of what Mother Nature has in store for Saturday, Wisconsin is just one of those teams that Iowa plays well against under Kirk Ferentz and I do not see that changing this time.
Prediction: Iowa 20 Wisconsin 13
Pick to Click: Karl Klug
Sunday, October 17, 2010
Thoughts on Michigan Game
Ok, I admit it, I was wrong. An inspired Iowa team went on the road to the largest outdoor sports venue in the United States and beat an athletic and talented Michigan team in a game in which Iowa fans re-lived the drama of last season during the fourth quarter. Despite being outgained on the offensive side of the ball, the Hawkeyes made plays when it mattered and now hold the key to their Big Ten destiny. Here are my thoughts.
Robinson. The number of times that Denard Robinson’s name was mentioned this week among the Iowa media and fans made it seem as though the event was an individual sporting event and not a team sport. Adam Robinson, however, clearly stole the show between the two Robinsons. Robinson finished with 143 yards on the ground on 31 carries and four receptions for 61 yards. The determination and grit that he runs with outweigh any breakaway speed that he may lack. Robinson’s uncanny ability to make guys miss and to gain those extra two to three yards has hopefully endeared him to Hawkeye fans and have convinced everyone that he can indeed be the sole running back for the remainder of the season. It is clear to me that through six games Robinson has been Iowa’s MVP. If he can stay healthy and keep up efforts like he had on Saturday, Iowa fans should be in for a treat for the remainder of the season.
Defense. Even though the numbers do not reflect a good performance, Iowa’s defense played a solid game. Michigan’s offensive style lends itself to racking up gaudy numbers, so I am not as concerned about the numbers that Michigan compiled. I am concerned, however, about what I perceived to be several fundamental breakdowns. This seemed to be the second consecutive game in which the Iowa defense tackled very poorly. Instead of breaking down, driving through the ball carrier and wrapping up, there seemed to be a lot of attempted arm tackles and bad angles. If I was able to notice those miscues, it is a pretty safe bet that the Iowa coaching staff will make a point of it this week in practice. Likewise, I thought the Iowa defense became a little complacent late in the third quarter and was not flying to the ball as well as they normally do. Either way, spread offenses like Michigan and Northwestern have always given the Iowa defense trouble, so the prospect of facing traditional style offenses in the next two week has to be appetizing for an Iowa defense that I believe will regain its confidence in a hurry.
Quiet Performers. Several players had quiet yet very productive games. Brad Rogers, who was filling in for the injured Brett Morse, looked very impressive and comfortable at fullback. Rogers not only had a great catch out of the backfield but he also made several outstanding kick-out blocks on Robinson runs that resulted in long gains. The Iowa offensive line also had a solid effort on Saturday paving the way for Robinson and giving Stanzi time to throw the ball downfield. While this unit has plenty of room for improvement, they have come together nicely and will be needed in the second and third legs of this three game gauntlet.
Key Kick. All year long people have been wondering how the Iowa kickers would perform in big situations. On Saturday Michael Meyer eased those concerns and gained some confidence when he nailed a 30 yard field goal at a critical point in the fourth quarter to give Iowa a ten point lead. The fact that he made the kick on the road in such a hostile environment tells me that Meyer may have the mental ability that it takes to be a kicker. Hopefully that confidence will help him at home in the next two weeks when he will undoubtedly be called upon in key situations.
A win at Michigan Stadium is a momentous win in any year regardless of how down the Michigan football program may be at the present. Iowa’s win on Saturday marked only the seventh time in the program’s history in which they have won in Ann Arbor. As several writers pointed out on Saturday evening and Sunday, the road to the Big Ten championship runs through Iowa City as Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Ohio State all visit Kinnick Stadium. Wisconsin will come into Kinnick Stadium next Saturday riding the emotional high of defeating the number one ranked team in the country. Michigan State could come into Kinnick Stadium in two weeks ranked in the top five in the country. Given that the Iowa defense thrives playing against traditional style offenses, I think the Hawkeyes will be in a good position to walk away with two wins. One way or another, we will know if Iowa is in the driver’s seat in the Big Ten conference race.
Robinson. The number of times that Denard Robinson’s name was mentioned this week among the Iowa media and fans made it seem as though the event was an individual sporting event and not a team sport. Adam Robinson, however, clearly stole the show between the two Robinsons. Robinson finished with 143 yards on the ground on 31 carries and four receptions for 61 yards. The determination and grit that he runs with outweigh any breakaway speed that he may lack. Robinson’s uncanny ability to make guys miss and to gain those extra two to three yards has hopefully endeared him to Hawkeye fans and have convinced everyone that he can indeed be the sole running back for the remainder of the season. It is clear to me that through six games Robinson has been Iowa’s MVP. If he can stay healthy and keep up efforts like he had on Saturday, Iowa fans should be in for a treat for the remainder of the season.
Defense. Even though the numbers do not reflect a good performance, Iowa’s defense played a solid game. Michigan’s offensive style lends itself to racking up gaudy numbers, so I am not as concerned about the numbers that Michigan compiled. I am concerned, however, about what I perceived to be several fundamental breakdowns. This seemed to be the second consecutive game in which the Iowa defense tackled very poorly. Instead of breaking down, driving through the ball carrier and wrapping up, there seemed to be a lot of attempted arm tackles and bad angles. If I was able to notice those miscues, it is a pretty safe bet that the Iowa coaching staff will make a point of it this week in practice. Likewise, I thought the Iowa defense became a little complacent late in the third quarter and was not flying to the ball as well as they normally do. Either way, spread offenses like Michigan and Northwestern have always given the Iowa defense trouble, so the prospect of facing traditional style offenses in the next two week has to be appetizing for an Iowa defense that I believe will regain its confidence in a hurry.
Quiet Performers. Several players had quiet yet very productive games. Brad Rogers, who was filling in for the injured Brett Morse, looked very impressive and comfortable at fullback. Rogers not only had a great catch out of the backfield but he also made several outstanding kick-out blocks on Robinson runs that resulted in long gains. The Iowa offensive line also had a solid effort on Saturday paving the way for Robinson and giving Stanzi time to throw the ball downfield. While this unit has plenty of room for improvement, they have come together nicely and will be needed in the second and third legs of this three game gauntlet.
Key Kick. All year long people have been wondering how the Iowa kickers would perform in big situations. On Saturday Michael Meyer eased those concerns and gained some confidence when he nailed a 30 yard field goal at a critical point in the fourth quarter to give Iowa a ten point lead. The fact that he made the kick on the road in such a hostile environment tells me that Meyer may have the mental ability that it takes to be a kicker. Hopefully that confidence will help him at home in the next two weeks when he will undoubtedly be called upon in key situations.
A win at Michigan Stadium is a momentous win in any year regardless of how down the Michigan football program may be at the present. Iowa’s win on Saturday marked only the seventh time in the program’s history in which they have won in Ann Arbor. As several writers pointed out on Saturday evening and Sunday, the road to the Big Ten championship runs through Iowa City as Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Ohio State all visit Kinnick Stadium. Wisconsin will come into Kinnick Stadium next Saturday riding the emotional high of defeating the number one ranked team in the country. Michigan State could come into Kinnick Stadium in two weeks ranked in the top five in the country. Given that the Iowa defense thrives playing against traditional style offenses, I think the Hawkeyes will be in a good position to walk away with two wins. One way or another, we will know if Iowa is in the driver’s seat in the Big Ten conference race.
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Michigan Predictions
Despite the Big Ten season starting two weeks ago, it seems as though Iowa starts its 2010 Big Ten campaign this Saturday in Ann Arbor against an opponent that has one of the most exciting players in college football. This game is also the beginning of a three game stretch in which Iowa can show that it deserves to be a top ten team nationally and is a legitimate contender to win the Big Ten championship. Here are my thoughts.
Shoelace. I might as well start off discussing this game with the topic that has dominated every conversation leading up to this game. Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson has done things this year that no other player in college football history has ever done. He has thrown for more than 200 yards and rushed for more than 200 yards twice this year, which is more than any other player in college football history. Prior to his three interception performance last week against Michigan State, Robinson was beating teams not only with his legs but his arm. However, the Spartans exposed a weakness that when Michigan is playing from behind and Robinson is forced to throw the ball he tends to make bad decisions in reading the coverage, which led to the three interceptions last week. Robinson will get his yards but, as is often the case with a great offense against the Iowa defense under a Kirk Ferentz, if the Iowa defense can clamp down in the red zone against Michigan and force field goal attempts, the defense will have done its job. Robinson was limited to 86 yards last week against a Michigan State rush defense that ranks 25th in the country against the run allowing 111 yards on the ground. Michigan’s prior opponents have allowed an average of 178 yards on the ground, which would be good enough for 90th in the country. Iowa’s defense against the run is second in the country allowing only 63.2 yards per game. While Iowa’s opponents have not exactly been world beaters, the statistic is impressive nonetheless. If the Iowa defense can find a way to make Robinson one-dimensional, they will certainly give the offense an opportunity to put points on the board.
Pass Attack. While the Michigan offense has been impressive this year, the Michigan defense has been a complete and utter disappointment. Michigan ranks 112th in the country in total defense having given up an average of 450 yards per game. If Iowa can go turnover free or win the turnover battle, the Iowa offense should be able to move the ball on a consistent basis. Iowa’s best defense could be the Iowa offense remaining on the field in order to keep the ball out of the hands of Robinson. I expect Iowa to establish the pass in order to set up the run to draw out the clock especially given the fact that Iowa is limited at the running back position. In his press conference this week, Kirk Ferentz seemed to indicate that, barring injury, Adam Robinson will be the only person to carry the ball for the Hawkeyes. While Marcus Coker is talented, I do not blame the coaching staff for being nervous about having a true freshman hanging on to the ball and, more importantly, pick up blitzes to protect fifth-year starting quarterback Ricky Stanzi. This game is an opportunity for Stanzi to shine and be a leader for this team in what will be a typical hostile Big Ten crowd. Look for offensive coordinator Ken O’Keefe to challenge the young Michigan secondary by throwing the ball downfield in an effort to limit the number of carries by Adam Robinson.
Linebackers. While it is probably a debate more fitting for those more well-versed in defense, I tend to think that the key to defending a mobile quarterback is a fast and veteran linebacker corps. Jeremiha Hunter is the sole returning starter of the Iowa linebackers, and although Tyler Nielsen has looked very athletic in the first five games, he has simply not had the repetitions in a game setting to react instinctively rather than thinking then acting. Hunter and Nielsen will both have to be at their best, as the middle linebacker position is a question mark entering the game. Jeff Tarpinian is questionable after a stinger he suffered in practice before the Penn State game. Troy Johnson, a fifth-year senior will likely start but, like Nielsen, does not have significant game experience at middle linebacker despite winning Big Ten player of the week honors against Minnesota last season while filling in for Hunter. Behind Johnson is true freshman James Morris. The lingering image in my mind is one of Robinson getting past the Iowa defensive line and beat the Iowa linebackers to the outside. Granted, I hope that I am wrong and that if Robinson does get to the second level, the Iowa secondary can limit the big gains, but I am still concerned about the linebackers’ ability to contain Robinson.
End Play. Iowa’s domination of Georgia Tech in the Orange Bowl has been brought up several times this week given the run-oriented nature of Georgia Tech and Michigan. Even though there are significant differences between the two offenses, the principles of what is required by the defensive line is the same, which is to say that Iowa’s defensive line will have to play disciplined gap control and cannot break contain on the ends. If Adrian Clayborn, Broderick Binns, and Christian Ballard in their defensive end positions can funnel Robinson and the Michigan ground game to the middle where there is help from the defensive tackles and the linebackers, Iowa should be able to have the same success as Michigan State against Michigan’s ground game. On the other hand, over-aggressive end play that causes them to get up field too quickly will give Robinson gaping holes to run through to get to the outside.
For the past several weeks I have been saying before each game that the particular game would tell us more about Iowa. Five games into the season I am still unsure about this team and what they are capable of doing this season. Iowa State, Arizona and Penn State have all had their disappointments this season and make Iowa’s wins against them seem insignificant. Without a doubt, however, the next three games will certainly show Iowa fans what type of team they have this year. If you remember, I picked this game as one in which Iowa would lose and that was before knowing that Robinson would start at quarterback for Michigan or knowing that he would be the Heisman contender that he has been thus far this year. While I think the Iowa defense and offense are capable of slowing down the Michigan offense and scoring points against a porous Michigan defense, I have seen the Iowa routine against a mobile quarterback before and my memories of those games are not good ones. Call me crazy and call me someone who will gladly eat crow on Sunday, but I am sticking with my prediction at the beginning of the year.
Prediction: Iowa 24 Michigan 28
Pick to Click: Ricky Stanzi
Shoelace. I might as well start off discussing this game with the topic that has dominated every conversation leading up to this game. Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson has done things this year that no other player in college football history has ever done. He has thrown for more than 200 yards and rushed for more than 200 yards twice this year, which is more than any other player in college football history. Prior to his three interception performance last week against Michigan State, Robinson was beating teams not only with his legs but his arm. However, the Spartans exposed a weakness that when Michigan is playing from behind and Robinson is forced to throw the ball he tends to make bad decisions in reading the coverage, which led to the three interceptions last week. Robinson will get his yards but, as is often the case with a great offense against the Iowa defense under a Kirk Ferentz, if the Iowa defense can clamp down in the red zone against Michigan and force field goal attempts, the defense will have done its job. Robinson was limited to 86 yards last week against a Michigan State rush defense that ranks 25th in the country against the run allowing 111 yards on the ground. Michigan’s prior opponents have allowed an average of 178 yards on the ground, which would be good enough for 90th in the country. Iowa’s defense against the run is second in the country allowing only 63.2 yards per game. While Iowa’s opponents have not exactly been world beaters, the statistic is impressive nonetheless. If the Iowa defense can find a way to make Robinson one-dimensional, they will certainly give the offense an opportunity to put points on the board.
Pass Attack. While the Michigan offense has been impressive this year, the Michigan defense has been a complete and utter disappointment. Michigan ranks 112th in the country in total defense having given up an average of 450 yards per game. If Iowa can go turnover free or win the turnover battle, the Iowa offense should be able to move the ball on a consistent basis. Iowa’s best defense could be the Iowa offense remaining on the field in order to keep the ball out of the hands of Robinson. I expect Iowa to establish the pass in order to set up the run to draw out the clock especially given the fact that Iowa is limited at the running back position. In his press conference this week, Kirk Ferentz seemed to indicate that, barring injury, Adam Robinson will be the only person to carry the ball for the Hawkeyes. While Marcus Coker is talented, I do not blame the coaching staff for being nervous about having a true freshman hanging on to the ball and, more importantly, pick up blitzes to protect fifth-year starting quarterback Ricky Stanzi. This game is an opportunity for Stanzi to shine and be a leader for this team in what will be a typical hostile Big Ten crowd. Look for offensive coordinator Ken O’Keefe to challenge the young Michigan secondary by throwing the ball downfield in an effort to limit the number of carries by Adam Robinson.
Linebackers. While it is probably a debate more fitting for those more well-versed in defense, I tend to think that the key to defending a mobile quarterback is a fast and veteran linebacker corps. Jeremiha Hunter is the sole returning starter of the Iowa linebackers, and although Tyler Nielsen has looked very athletic in the first five games, he has simply not had the repetitions in a game setting to react instinctively rather than thinking then acting. Hunter and Nielsen will both have to be at their best, as the middle linebacker position is a question mark entering the game. Jeff Tarpinian is questionable after a stinger he suffered in practice before the Penn State game. Troy Johnson, a fifth-year senior will likely start but, like Nielsen, does not have significant game experience at middle linebacker despite winning Big Ten player of the week honors against Minnesota last season while filling in for Hunter. Behind Johnson is true freshman James Morris. The lingering image in my mind is one of Robinson getting past the Iowa defensive line and beat the Iowa linebackers to the outside. Granted, I hope that I am wrong and that if Robinson does get to the second level, the Iowa secondary can limit the big gains, but I am still concerned about the linebackers’ ability to contain Robinson.
End Play. Iowa’s domination of Georgia Tech in the Orange Bowl has been brought up several times this week given the run-oriented nature of Georgia Tech and Michigan. Even though there are significant differences between the two offenses, the principles of what is required by the defensive line is the same, which is to say that Iowa’s defensive line will have to play disciplined gap control and cannot break contain on the ends. If Adrian Clayborn, Broderick Binns, and Christian Ballard in their defensive end positions can funnel Robinson and the Michigan ground game to the middle where there is help from the defensive tackles and the linebackers, Iowa should be able to have the same success as Michigan State against Michigan’s ground game. On the other hand, over-aggressive end play that causes them to get up field too quickly will give Robinson gaping holes to run through to get to the outside.
For the past several weeks I have been saying before each game that the particular game would tell us more about Iowa. Five games into the season I am still unsure about this team and what they are capable of doing this season. Iowa State, Arizona and Penn State have all had their disappointments this season and make Iowa’s wins against them seem insignificant. Without a doubt, however, the next three games will certainly show Iowa fans what type of team they have this year. If you remember, I picked this game as one in which Iowa would lose and that was before knowing that Robinson would start at quarterback for Michigan or knowing that he would be the Heisman contender that he has been thus far this year. While I think the Iowa defense and offense are capable of slowing down the Michigan offense and scoring points against a porous Michigan defense, I have seen the Iowa routine against a mobile quarterback before and my memories of those games are not good ones. Call me crazy and call me someone who will gladly eat crow on Sunday, but I am sticking with my prediction at the beginning of the year.
Prediction: Iowa 24 Michigan 28
Pick to Click: Ricky Stanzi
Sunday, October 3, 2010
Thoughts on Penn State Game
The festivities of homecoming weekend in Iowa City ended in a happy parting gift to those alumni of the University of Iowa who made their way back to the holy land. Behind the backdrop of an impressive alternating black and gold color scheme crowd, the Iowa football team sent a strong message to the rest of the Big Ten that the Arizona game was more a fluke. Here are my thoughts on the game.
Defensive Dominance. The Iowa defense showed again Saturday why it was ranked first in overall team defense heading into the weekend and now ranks fourth afterwards. Adrian Clayborn and company disrupted the Penn State offensive rhythm and prevented Penn State star running back Evan Royster from establishing any ground game for the Nittany Lions. Iowa allowed only 54 yards on the ground and 301 yards overall, which is somewhat misleading considering one never felt as though the game was in doubt given the performance by the defense. Clayborn, Karl Klug, and Christian Ballard seemed to be in on almost every play on Saturday. Ballard and Clayborn had several highlights that will undoubtedly make their way to films viewed by NFL scouts. Not only do both of them play with incredible strength, but their athleticism for their size is incredible, as Penn State quarterback Rob Bolden found out when Ballard caught him from behind with about a five yard lead. The Iowa defense will face its biggest test in its next contest when it faces an explosive Michigan offense led by Heisman Trophy frontrunner Denard Robinson who is second in the NCAA in total offense averaging 382 yards per game. However, given that the Iowa staff will have two weeks to prepare and that Michigan will be coming off a tough, hard-hitting game with intrastate rival Michigan State, I think that the Iowa defense will be up to the task.
Second Half Playcalling. Admittedly I was very upset with the second half playcalling by the Iowa coaching staff. After I took some time to think about the context and the situation, it is clear that the Iowa staff took a very reasonable and pragmatic approach. Throughout the Kirk Ferentz era, Iowa’s approach has been to play mistake free football and cause its opponent to make more mistakes and force its opponents into difficult situations. Once Iowa scored its first touchdown to go up 10-0, I felt as though the game was no longer in doubt. Thus, on second take, I thought the Iowa offensive coaching staff made the right calls by playing high percentage, low risk football in the second half. Why risk giving Penn State a short field with an interception? Instead, they relied on Adam Robinson to run the clock and then all-Big Ten punter Ryan Donahue to pin Penn State deep in its own territory.
Stanzi Efficiency. The Iowa offense really seems to click when Ricky Stanzi starts off on a hot streak. Stanzi started the game 9 of 10 on Iowa’s first three drives giving Iowa a 10-0 lead. Stanzi continues to impress me this season with his decisionmaking, as he is much more willing to take what the defense gives by checking down to a tight end or running back rather than trying to force a ball into coverage downfield. This mature decisionmaking coupled with an accurate arm is not only going to lead to success this year for the Iowa offense but will also improve his draft prospects.
Crowd Participation. Yes, I was wrong. The Kinnick faithful delivered on Saturday when it came to color coordination. While I was very skeptical about the marketing scheme prior to the game, after I saw the crowd live and then again on DVR, the nationwide television audience viewing the crowd had to be impressed with the black and gold in alternating sections. Likewise, I thought the crowd was loud when it needed to be during the game, especially during that critical third quarter goal line stand that prevented Penn State from reaching the endzone. One can tell that Kirk Ferentz and the players genuinely appreciate the support that they receive from the loyal Iowa fans. Suffice it say, the Iowa fans will be treated to some very good games to round out the 2010 season with Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Ohio State still remaining on the home schedule.
It was clear in his postgame interview that Kirk Ferentz was really looking forward to the bye week for his team. Not only will the bye week allow some of the injured Hawkeyes to receive some much needed rest, but it will also allow the diligent coaching staff the opportunity to analyze and plan against the Michigan offense. While scrambling, mobile quarterbacks have always given Iowa defenses fits, with two weeks to prepare for Denard Robinson, the Iowa coaching staff will have the defense more than ready for the Michigan offense. So, Iowa fans, enjoy the bye week. Watch some of the Michigan-Michigan State game for a little bit of advance scouting. Go outside and enjoy the start of the beautiful fall season. Most importantly, however, get some rest for yourself as the next seven conference games will come fast and furiously.
Defensive Dominance. The Iowa defense showed again Saturday why it was ranked first in overall team defense heading into the weekend and now ranks fourth afterwards. Adrian Clayborn and company disrupted the Penn State offensive rhythm and prevented Penn State star running back Evan Royster from establishing any ground game for the Nittany Lions. Iowa allowed only 54 yards on the ground and 301 yards overall, which is somewhat misleading considering one never felt as though the game was in doubt given the performance by the defense. Clayborn, Karl Klug, and Christian Ballard seemed to be in on almost every play on Saturday. Ballard and Clayborn had several highlights that will undoubtedly make their way to films viewed by NFL scouts. Not only do both of them play with incredible strength, but their athleticism for their size is incredible, as Penn State quarterback Rob Bolden found out when Ballard caught him from behind with about a five yard lead. The Iowa defense will face its biggest test in its next contest when it faces an explosive Michigan offense led by Heisman Trophy frontrunner Denard Robinson who is second in the NCAA in total offense averaging 382 yards per game. However, given that the Iowa staff will have two weeks to prepare and that Michigan will be coming off a tough, hard-hitting game with intrastate rival Michigan State, I think that the Iowa defense will be up to the task.
Second Half Playcalling. Admittedly I was very upset with the second half playcalling by the Iowa coaching staff. After I took some time to think about the context and the situation, it is clear that the Iowa staff took a very reasonable and pragmatic approach. Throughout the Kirk Ferentz era, Iowa’s approach has been to play mistake free football and cause its opponent to make more mistakes and force its opponents into difficult situations. Once Iowa scored its first touchdown to go up 10-0, I felt as though the game was no longer in doubt. Thus, on second take, I thought the Iowa offensive coaching staff made the right calls by playing high percentage, low risk football in the second half. Why risk giving Penn State a short field with an interception? Instead, they relied on Adam Robinson to run the clock and then all-Big Ten punter Ryan Donahue to pin Penn State deep in its own territory.
Stanzi Efficiency. The Iowa offense really seems to click when Ricky Stanzi starts off on a hot streak. Stanzi started the game 9 of 10 on Iowa’s first three drives giving Iowa a 10-0 lead. Stanzi continues to impress me this season with his decisionmaking, as he is much more willing to take what the defense gives by checking down to a tight end or running back rather than trying to force a ball into coverage downfield. This mature decisionmaking coupled with an accurate arm is not only going to lead to success this year for the Iowa offense but will also improve his draft prospects.
Crowd Participation. Yes, I was wrong. The Kinnick faithful delivered on Saturday when it came to color coordination. While I was very skeptical about the marketing scheme prior to the game, after I saw the crowd live and then again on DVR, the nationwide television audience viewing the crowd had to be impressed with the black and gold in alternating sections. Likewise, I thought the crowd was loud when it needed to be during the game, especially during that critical third quarter goal line stand that prevented Penn State from reaching the endzone. One can tell that Kirk Ferentz and the players genuinely appreciate the support that they receive from the loyal Iowa fans. Suffice it say, the Iowa fans will be treated to some very good games to round out the 2010 season with Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Ohio State still remaining on the home schedule.
It was clear in his postgame interview that Kirk Ferentz was really looking forward to the bye week for his team. Not only will the bye week allow some of the injured Hawkeyes to receive some much needed rest, but it will also allow the diligent coaching staff the opportunity to analyze and plan against the Michigan offense. While scrambling, mobile quarterbacks have always given Iowa defenses fits, with two weeks to prepare for Denard Robinson, the Iowa coaching staff will have the defense more than ready for the Michigan offense. So, Iowa fans, enjoy the bye week. Watch some of the Michigan-Michigan State game for a little bit of advance scouting. Go outside and enjoy the start of the beautiful fall season. Most importantly, however, get some rest for yourself as the next seven conference games will come fast and furiously.
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